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RUN WYCKOFF SCAN 100 completed. Daily Wyckoff Scan now has 100/100 distinct tickers and Rank 1–100 for 17/08/2026: 44 Complete, 56 Incomplete, 0 Error. Existing Top50 structure scan preserved; Top10 remains GEE, GEX, VIC, BCM, BVH, GAS, STB, GMD, BSR, VRE. Added first baseline for 50 new Top100 names using verified Finhay EOD quotes. Finhay price_history still returns Tool not found and index endpoint schema mismatch, so new names are deliberately Unclassified/LOW/Incomplete rather than forced into Wyckoff phases. VNINDEX canonical EOD context from Notion: 1,727.46 (-0.09%), tactical Risk-Off below 1,748–1,757. Most notable new single-session behaviors: CII +5.73% vol 17.3m, NLG +4.17%, DGC -4.63%, FRT +2.87%, VTP +2.43%; none promoted to Top10 without HTF/history confirmation. Historical predictions were not rewritten.

17/08 14:48 Finhay: MSN 66.9, O/H/L 66.3/66.9/65.9, +0.90%, volume 3.3068m. After 14/08 breakdown to 65.8, price has held the 65.5–65.8 decision support and is attempting to reclaim 66.6–67.0. Daily RSI ~46.94; 4H RSI ~49.31 and price is back above 4H MA50 ~66.49 intrabar; 1H RSI ~47.71 after rebound. No confirmed SOS: supply remains at 67.0–67.5 then 67.8–68.3/68.5–69.5. Probabilities 15/40/45 → provisional 20/50/30 pending EOD close.

After the 14/08 breakdown, VNINDEX stabilized at 1,727.46 (-0.09%). Intraday low 1,715.91 marginally undercut 1,717.64 then recovered; volume ~519.2M was well below the chart average ~711.5M. This is tentative supply contraction / downside rejection, not a confirmed reversal. Tactical Risk-Off remains while below 1,748–1,757; base case is stabilization/test around 1,716–1,706 with a possible technical bounce. Acceptance below 1,706 raises risk toward 1,683–1,659.

Backfill of prior material analysis: Daily breakdown below 1,748–1,756 and Weekly close below MA50 ~1,758 shifted VNINDEX from Neutral/caution to tactical Risk-Off. Close 1,729.08 near the weekly/daily low; downside focus moved to 1,717/1,706 then structural 1,683–1,659. Any bounce was to be treated as technical until 1,748–1,756 was reclaimed.

Reviewed a secondary 24HMoney article attributing Buy/TP VND110k to HSBC. No public official HSBC PDF found; HSBC full research is client-gated. Core 2026 NPAT 8.387tn is plausible vs management ~8.0tn post-MI, but reported EBITDA 17.195tn conflicts with management ~23tn unless definitions differ. CFO 10tn requires strong H2 working-capital normalization from 1H CFO ~3.185tn. MSR USD2.9bn valuation is the largest aggressive assumption. Article's claimed MSR VND1,000/cp 2026 interim cash dividend was not corroborated and conflicts with official commentary pointing to dividends from 2027. Treat 110k as plausible Bull-case SOTP, not verified Base-case fair value.

14/08 EOD Finhay: MSN 66.3, O/H/L 67.4/67.9/65.8, volume 6.3254m. Daily volume ~1.43x MA ~4.41m; 4H close 66.3 breaks 66.6–66.8/MA50 with ~4.335m volume vs ~1.854m MA; 1H low 65.8, close 66.3, volume ~2.656m vs ~846k MA, RSI ~34.9. Failed SOS 13/08 has clear bearish follow-through. Classify 4H SOW candidate / bearish CHoCH, not HTF SOW confirmed. Probabilities 20/45/35 → 15/40/45. Next decision 65.8–65.5; bull repair requires reclaim 66.6–67.0.

14/08 11:32 Finhay: MSN 66.9, O/H/L 67.4/67.9/66.7, -1.04%, volume 1.9901m. Supplied 4H chart shows volume already >4H MA ~1.748m while bar incomplete, price lost 67.2–67.4 intrabar and is testing 66.6–66.8. RSI ~48.27; MACD ~0.20 below signal ~0.24, hist ~-0.03. This is follow-through weakness after 13/08 failed breakout; not yet confirmed SOW until completed 4H acceptance <66.6–66.8 with follow-through. Probabilities 25/50/25 → 20/45/35.

Quét universe 50 HOSE. Top 10: GVR, GEE, GEX, GMD, EIB, VRE, OCB, TCB, BCM, MSB. Market context VNINDEX -1.54%, failed MA50/local supply, NEUTRAL/Mixed. Finhay EOD quote dùng cho 49/50 mã; VIB lỗi 502. Finhay price_history runtime trả Tool not found, vì vậy Weekly/historical context dựa trên snapshot scanner 12/08 và các MA/structure đã lưu; không ép Wyckoff labels. Top10 đã lưu vào Daily Wyckoff Scan.

EOD 13/08 Finhay: 67.6, O/H/L 67.5/68.3/67.4, volume 5.6811m. Morning 1H/4H break 67.8–68.0 failed to retain acceptance by Daily close; close in lower ~22% of range with volume ~1.38x prior Daily average ~4.119m. Reclassify morning SOS/acceptance candidate as failed micro commitment; probabilities 40/45/15 → 25/50/25. Bull repair requires reclaim 67.8–68.3 then 68.5–69.5; bearish confirmation is loss 67.4/67.2 then 66.6–66.8 on expanding supply.

VNINDEX failed the 1,795–1,804 MA50/local-supply test: O 1,793.81, H 1,798.79, L/C 1,765.63 (-1.54%). Volume ~743.4M was modestly above the chart average ~713.3M; RSI fell to 49.03 and MACD histogram decelerated. The prior 1,773–1,776 reclaim failed, removing the strong bullish bias. Base case now favors a test of 1,759–1,750/1,748; holding it preserves recovery, while acceptance below 1,748 increases downside risk. Bull/Base/Bear revised 40/50/10 → 25/55/20.

Late-morning 4H chart holds the 1H micro breakout: current bar ~O/H/L/C 67.5/68.3/67.5/68.0, above descending 4H trendline and 67.8–68.0 breakout zone. Intrabar volume ~1.577m vs 4H MA ~1.668m; RSI ~56, MACD positive but flat. Upgrade to 4H acceptance candidate, not confirmed SOS because bar is incomplete and 68.5–69.5/MA50D remains overhead. Probabilities 35/45/20 → Bull 40 / Base 45 / Bear 15. Finhay realtime connection failed during this update.

09:00–10:00 1H bar breaks 67.8–68.0 micro supply/descending trendline with constructive Effort vs Result; inferred bar volume ~1.26m (~2.3x 1H MA 554.75k). Finhay 10:18 price 68.0, high 68.3. Early SOS/commitment candidate only; HTF confirmation remains 68.5–69.5 then 71.5–73. Probabilities 25/50/25 → Bull 35 / Base 45 / Bear 20.

NHNN report signals strong Government commitment to double-digit growth and comprehensive financial-market reform, including corporate-bond development and stock-market upgrading, while explicitly acknowledging limited room for broad monetary easing. Fiscal policy/public investment should lead growth; monetary policy remains supportive but constrained by inflation, FX and banking liquidity. Medium-term structural read-through is bullish for Vietnam equities, but not a blanket liquidity-flood signal.

Initial canonical VPB Daily TA baseline. Close 25.70 (+0.78%), O/H/L 25.55/25.80/25.35; volume 7.49M vs 20D average ~15.05M. Price is recovering from late-July lows and momentum has improved (RSI ~51; MACD histogram positive) but remains below MA50/Kijun ~26.0 and inside a contracting triangle. Base case: continued compression / probe 26.0–26.3 while 25.2–25.35 holds. Bull confirmation requires break→hold→test above 26.1–26.3 with better volume; stronger above 27.0–27.66. Bear warning below 25.2; structural invalidation below 24.3–24.6 with supply expansion.

Daily close 67.2 after intraday test 67.8; micro breakout trigger failed to gain acceptance. Volume 2.039m vs ~4.119m average = low activity, not supply expansion. RSI ~47.7; MACD hist positive but lines below zero. Probabilities updated Bull 25 / Base 50 / Bear 25. Confirmation 68.5–69.5 then 71.5–73; tactical support 66.3–66.7, structural invalidation remains <61–62 with supply expansion.

Daily bar held the AM rally near session high at 1,793.18, reclaimed above cloud top ~1,773, RSI/MACD improved. Price remains below MA50 ~1,796 and 1,804–1,815 supply; volume ~570.6M is below MA20 ~715.5M and the Daily bar is incomplete. Bull 35→40%, Base 50%, Bear 15→10%; Market Regime remains Neutral.

4H morning partial candle at 11:30: MSN 67.4, O/H/L 67.2/67.8/67.1, holding above MA50 4H ~66.7 and pressing descending resistance. RSI ~52.4; MACD positive but flat. Volume 876.2k is incomplete and not comparable to full 4H bars. No confirmation above 68.5–69.5; probabilities unchanged Bull 30 / Base 45 / Bear 25. Micro trigger 67.8–68; tactical warning <66–66.5.

4H price advanced to 1,792.88 (+1.10%), testing 1,794–1,804 supply. Prior Base case remains valid; no scenario invalidated. Bull probability modestly improved to 35%, Bear reduced to 15%, Base stays 50%. Current 4H candle is incomplete, so breakout/volume confirmation is pending.

NEUTRAL, bullish bias. Bull 30% / Base 50% / Bear 20%. Base case: consolidation/recovery around 1,745–1,815. RISK-ON gate 1,815 then 1,858–1,868. Structural bearish invalidation zone 1,683–1,658.

Weekly range ~61–80; 61–63 Spring/shakeout candidate chưa xác nhận. Base 45% = base-building/recovery inside range; Bull 30%; Bear 25%. Confirmation 69.5 then 72–73; structural invalidation acceptance <61–62.

FA upgraded from bootstrap Mixed to Bullish/medium confidence: Q2/6T earnings and margins improve broadly; WCM conversion strong, MHT drives step-change. Main offsets are working-capital inventory build, ~69tn debt, bond maturities/USD exposure and CrownX put obligation.